Project detail

Campaign Effectiveness with PyMC

Bayesian model for estimating expected conversions based on campaign spend and duration.

completeddata
  • python
  • pymc
  • fastapi
  • flutter

Highlights

  • Optimization by spend and duration
  • Optimal scenarios and heatmap
  • Expected conversion modeling
  • Useful for budget decisions

No public repository or demo link is published for this project yet.

Architecture

FastAPI backend with a Bayesian model and Flutter app to explore campaign combinations

Challenges

  • Exploring grids without losing speed
  • Interpreting parameter sensitivity
  • Avoiding overfitting with limited data

Outcome

A foundation for allocating budget to campaigns with better expected return

Overview

Problem

Campaigns with different budgets and durations produce highly variable results.

Approach

I estimated expected conversions with PyMC to compare campaign scenarios.

Outcome

The analysis helps choose more profitable combinations before investing.